The world according to Coronavirus: what will change and not?

The government has announced that the lives of French people after Coronavirus 2019 will not be exactly the same as before. At a time when different scenarios are being sketched out, what will really change? And what will not change? Elements of answers ...

Health

First health, the crisis caused by the global pandemic of Covid-19 has caused to date the death of nearly 30 people in France. But despite a recent slowdown in the circulation of the virus and the gradual deconfinement in place since May 00, the health of the French remains threatened. Nothing is yet won because this virus often brings its share of unpleasant surprises.

Unprecedented, the current health crisis weighs heavily on an already fragile health system. So announces for Social Security a record deficit of more than 41 billion euros, "unheard of", according to the Minister of Public Accounts, Gérald Darmanin. Already in deficit of 1,9 billion euros at the end of 2019, Social Security must indeed face not only 8 billion new expenses (work stoppages, bonuses for carers, etc.) but also 31 billion in less (contributions, CSG, VAT, etc.).

Enough to raise questions, if not anxieties, around the French health system in the next world, especially about mutuals. Is the new medical teleconsultation reimbursed? Will the cost of contributions increase? Will coronavirus screening tests be supported? So many questions that it is legitimate to ask to possibly consider changing mutual for a more advantageous contract.

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Especially since a new measure plans to simplify the termination process of its mutual health insurance contract from December 1, 2020 at the latest. If so far the annual renewal of the contract has been tacit, this new measure provides for the termination of the latter at any time, without reason and without charge, after one year of engagement. The time therefore seems opportune to compare the offers of mutual health insurance companies on a site such as Insurance comparator in order to be protected as best as possible in the next world.

La economic and social issue

In addition to the health crisis, there is a major economic crisis, which affects or will affect the whole world in almost all sectors of human activity.

During the confinement, 10,2 million employees in the private sector were partially unemployed in France, some still are after 1 month of deconfinement. Six out of 6 companies (10) found themselves stationary, said Labor Minister Muriel Pénicaud. Some business sectors are even affected as a whole, such as hotels and restaurants, which has a partial unemployment rate of 90%, or even construction, up to 93%, or more than one million employees concerned.

A situation called to last beyond deconfinement. Because the activity can only resume gradually and a confidence crisis will continue for many more months…

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In general, various systems are encouraged to ensure health security in companies and businesses authorized to resume their activity, in particular the continuation of telework, the rotation of teams, or even the generalization of the drive.

La ecology issue

Faced with this confinement of almost half the world's population, and therefore the massive reduction in transport and the shutdown of a significant part of industries, theenvironment is sometimes described as the big winner of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Idyllic images of the return of animals to cities, the clearing of rivers, or even the reduction of air pollution are thus looped on social networks and offer a welcome oasis in the middle of a stream of anxiety news.

However, if we can only rejoice at this drop in pollution, to the tune of - 40% to - 50% in Europe, it must be admitted that this parenthesis will only be short-term. Indeed, from the start of deconfinement, despite reduced public transport at first and teleworking strongly encouraged, the needs or habits of all can only resume identically ... or worse to catch up with the economy, as this has been seen in China.

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And if we can imagine or envision a profound change in the lifestyle of the French Regarding their appetite for travel or consumption in general, specialists still fear a backlash. Clément Sénéchal, campaign manager at Greenpeace, fears a loosening of ecological standards. Sandrine Mathy, director of research at the CNRS and economist of the environment and energy, fears for its part economic recovery based on investments in oil and shale gas in the United States, on coal in China, or on deforestation in Brazil for the benefit of large farms.

But the current plural crisis will have the merit ofto awaken the consciences. From a health, economic and ecological point of view, all stakeholders agree on the need to rethink our society. Massive investment program, overhaul of our agricultural systems, local culture, short supply chains, redistribution of added value to producers, new development indicators such as natural capital, etc. : so many avenues to build the world according to the Coronavirus.

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