The crisis of coronavirus (COVID-19) creates fear, fear and fear among the world's population. The concerns expressed are justified by a number of events that have taken place in recent days: stock market crash (more than -12% on a day for the CAC40 recently… an absolute record since its creation!), drop in economic activity (therefore future GDP), fall in crude oil (more than 50% in 2 months) and the containment measures taken by certain countries, including France.
What are the first societal consequences and lessons to be drawn from this crisis? Crisis which is far, very far, from being over…
Regulatory closings of schools and businesses and the more or less generalized confinement in certain European states, including France, also certainly testify to the plight of the rulers in the face of the grim picture painted by specialists on the development of this crisis. Desde la Cruz del Sur treatments research as well as discussions are underway to stem the pandemic. Until then, the world economy is at half mast and the curve is not likely to reverse in the coming weeks ... or even In the coming months!
When we consult the various economic aggregates in terms of prosperity, we have every right to worry about the fate of the world. But are the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic only negative? What are the lessons for the future? We take stock of the repercussions of this epidemic crisis while clarifying the much-forgotten concept of happy sobriety.
What are the harmful effects of coronavirus crisis on the world ?
Virus that can be transmitted from one person to another, COVID-19 has an impact not only on the social habits of populations, but also on the world economy. At the social level, the spread of the virus is gaining momentum by creating a kind of psychosis at the population level.
Governments are taking action, are they sufficient?
Faced with this, governments have not hesitated to adopt restrictive measures. A quarantine of infected people has been decided in order to limit the risks of spread. Unfortunately, these measures do not seem to be sufficient. Every day, new people are tested positive for coronavirus worldwide. This is why Italy, France and more and more countries have decided to set up a confinement of the population at home who must now stay at home as much as possible and has limited movement.
Unfortunately, fake news (or manipulation of the option, disinformation, information, intoxication ...) spread quickly and, unfortunately, not only on social networks via some frustrated people of the ego! So, yesterday evening, Friday March 20, 2020, the French Minister of Health, doctor Olivier Véran, said on French television that the contagion period was still only 14 days, while a study published in The Lancet March 9, 2020 (so 11 days ago) showed that it could reach 37 days! It is a serious fault for a person of his responsibility and his responsibility could (should?) Be blamed for "endangering the life of others"! The Lancet is the world's largest peer-reviewed medicine journal in the world!
We can therefore legitimately ask ourselves the question about the powers of the French government to resolve this crisis as quickly as possible. Are not the highest health authorities aware of the latest scientific publications? Are we at war or are we having tea at Mamie's?
Some of the infected people have severe or severe forms of the disease while others recover after just a few days of treatment. The care being provided by qualified medical personnel, among the best in the world, but now overwhelmed and weakened by the successive budgetary restrictions of recent years ... In particular by the Macron government which has been deaf to their claims for months!
Not all patients are screened as quickly as we might wish and serious or severe cases affect elderly or frail populations, there are numerous losses in human life…
A great hope is the treatment of Coronvavirus with Plaquenil, following a Chinese study published in Nature on February 4 (but there are other effective molecules like Remdesivir). Unfortunately, the Professor Christian Perronne department head at Garches, indicated on Friday March 20, 2020 at 19 pm on LCI that the stocks in France had… disappeared!
This video, admittedly a little awkward (Professor Perronne spoke of “looting” which could have been interpreted as “theft”), was the subject of a corrective article published this morning in Libération:
“Since this morning, we have had the order to manage this product in shortage in front of the explosion of orders as soon as the stock received. We are therefore awaiting instructions in order to distribute the stock between the different establishments. This decision to follow the lack of "civility" of certain establishments which clearly gave instructions to their interns on duty to "empty our stocks" during the guards. We therefore deplore the lack of solidarity between establishments and this only increases our workload… ”
You can discuss this information on the subject of our forums: Chloroquine and Coronavirus which includes all the news about it.
One of the first lessons is therefore not to not blindly trust government claims. Check the information for yourself! The Internet is a great tool for doing this… and some sites, like this one, help you to keep better informed! For example here are the Coronavirus epidemic maps and statistics
According to a member of our forum, Brazil would distribute Chloroquine massively and free of charge to its entire population for a few hours:
Our Brazilian friends (my wife worked there for 3 years) received a box of chloroquine donated by the government. Distribution seems to be done state by state.
They started with Belo Horizonte. In their message it was said that each Brazilian would receive his box.
We are at war, and when we are at war, we must use all available weapons to destroy the enemy and this as quickly as possible…
Severe economic consequences: the coming economic crisis will probably be worse than that of 1929
The consequences of this health crisis extend to other areas. According to the OECD, CODIV-19 is hurting the global economy. Economic forecasts are steadily declining following recent preventive measures by governments to stop the spread of the disease. In recent months, several activities have been slowing down. Declines in turnover are becoming more pronounced and panic begins to win companies in all sectors of activity (automotive, aeronautics, stock market, etc.). In addition, stock market indices around the world are posting record losses, with the Dow Jones down 13,5% and CAC 40 over 12%.
Containment measures and the closing of borders do not help the financial situation. According to economic specialists and analysts, the world is about to face financial chaos. The appearance of a vaccine would be beneficial for the many human lives involved, but also to save the global economy from the sinking.
We can also predict, without taking too much risk, a explosion of bankruptcies and bank (or other) foreclosures in the coming months...
Seizures on bankruptcies, car or real estate credit… Few will be the people linked to a credit who will be spared by the crisis and the possible seizures! A bank, no more than a bailiff, have, unfortunately, no empathy… Even in moments of major crisis as we are currently experiencing.
Socially, containment will also cause significant increase in divorces and marital separations. Some are already pointing to an increase in domestic violence after only a few days of confinement… What will happen in 2 months?
Internet is also already largely impacted by containment nearly a billion humans: many services are slowed down, restrained or inaccessible ...
The positive impact of the Covid-19 crisis and after coronavirus?
By further reflecting on this crisis, we can glimpse some positive points. Indeed, positive impacts on the environment cannot go unnoticed.
On March 10, the World Meteorological Organization reported that the average global temperature in 2019 was 1,1 ° C above pre-industrial levels. In other words, the planet is warming more and more due to human activity. The consequences for the environment are absolutely dramatic.
Reduced CO2 and local pollution (Particles, NO x, etc.)
With this crisis, the limitation of thefts and automobile movements following the containment measures adopted by several countries should slowing down the slippage in greenhouse gas emissions, thereby reducing the risk of pollution. To date, the slowdown of economic activity in some states such as China (which recorded up to 25000 / dead per month due to pollution) significantly reduces the amount of CO2 released into the air. This is for example the case in China which saw its emissions fall by 1/4. The result is a sharp drop in pollution-related mortality.
The advent of this virus has also considerably limited violence, theft (-4,3% difference between February 2019 and February 2020), as well as terrorism worldwide. It would seem that terrorist groups are themselves affected by the evolution of this virus. A new world order seems to be taking shape with a crystallization of all efforts to end the crisis.
The return of animal life!
Several videos posted on the internet show a return of animal life in anthropogenic exclusion zones!
On the professional plan, the virus has allowed the rise of one of the emerging modes of working at home: teleworking. It is possible to work remotely from any place (outside of the employer's premises) located on the surface of the globe, and some companies previously chilly at this prospect have put in place the necessary means to allow their workers , confined to their homes, to work from their home. More respectful of the environment, this form of work is now enjoying tremendous success and perhaps heralds a future more concerned with the planet and our health.
What are the first lessons to be learned from this crisis (which is far from over)?
On analysis, the consumption habits of each other and the various economic policies of governments seem to corroborate a system of "limitless growth" with the lot of risks that this entails on a daily basis. It might be time to think about solutions for our societies, this is what we already call the crisis ofafter coronavirus
Many people have already taken the lead because the societal model of our society must take the lessons from this crisis!
Change model after Covid-19 ... or change those who have governed France for 30 years?
This crisis may already be showing us the way. If to date no vaccine has yet been found, it will have at least proved us one thing: we can live in this world without living just to consume more and more, by depleting planetary resources less. Do we need to consume, work, produce and pollute as much as that to live? The answer to these different questions introduces us almost automatically into the notion of happy sobriety.
Added April 17, 2020. Aurelien Barrau summarizes the situation in the economic world BEFORE the Coronavirus crisis and gives some tracks to follow "Intervention at" the academy of the next world ""
Added April 15, 2020. This synthetic 6-minute video on a change in economic paradigm to save the climate: "Rethinking our world"
According to some specialists, it is possible to slow, control or decrease growth without it actually having a negative impact on the happiness of most humans' vibrates. So why perpetuate a consumerist system that has just shown its flaws? Many works have been carried out on the subject and can be consulted. This is the case of the report entitled " Transforming the growth regime "From the economist Michel Aglietta. Thus, faced with this pandemic, it would be necessary to organize a growth of happy sobriety instead of suffering the misfortunes of infinite growth!
While waiting for the end of this coronavirus crisis, maybe we could already think about what is the well-being of each one, what are the senses and goals of our lives, and realize that we are completely possible to evolve our society towards a more responsible consumption mode and more respectful of our environment and future generations.
The coronavirus can be the mental trigger towards a new society ... A true society of econology!