Pandemic Coronavirus COVID-19: maps, statistics, analyzes and day-to-day information

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sicetaitsimple
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by sicetaitsimple » 06/04/20, 18:34

Christophe wrote:I believe I saw that there were 160 EHPAD patients in France ...


Rather around 700.000.
https://drees.solidarites-sante.gouv.fr ... er1015.pdf
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Adrien (ex-nico239)
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Adrien (ex-nico239) » 06/04/20, 19:15

Christophe wrote:
Adrien (ex-nico239) wrote:Are we talking again about your fanciful forecasts of 89 deaths in France on April 953, 19? Image
health-pollution-prevention / coronavirus-covid-19-real-time-epidemic-map-t16331-610.html


Don't laugh too quickly: April 19 has not yet passed ...

Given that France is 1% of the world population so if he is right about France then we would be> 9 million deaths in the world ...


Ah well we will have to get started this evening at the rate of 6298 deaths .... every day ...Image
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Adrien (ex-nico239) » 07/04/20, 00:36

Figures for April 6 in France

24/1 to 18/2 - 11 proven cases
March 4 - 285 proven cases - 4 deaths *
March 5 - 423 proven cases (+138) - 5 deaths (+1)
March 6 - 613 proven cases (+190) - 9 deaths (+4)
March 7 - 949 proven cases (+ 336) - 11 deaths (+2)
March 8 - 1126 proven cases (+ 177) - 19 deaths (+8)
March 9 - 1412 proven cases (+ 286) - 30 deaths (+ 11)
March 10 - 2 confirmed cases - 039 deaths (+ 44)
March 11 - 2281 proven cases (+ 242) - 48 deaths (+ 4)
March 12 - 2876 proven cases (+ 595) - 61 deaths (+ 13)
March 13 - 3 proven cases (+ 661) - 785 deaths (+ 79)
March 14 - 4 proven cases (+ 499) - 838 deaths (+ 91)
March 15 - 5 proven cases (+ 421) - 922 deaths (+ 161)
March 16 - 6 proven cases (+ 633) -
March 17 - 7 proven cases (+ 730) - 1 deaths
March 18 - 9 proven cases (+ 134) - 1 deaths (+ 404)
March 19 - 10995 proven cases (+ 1) - 861 deaths (+ 372)
March 20 - 12 proven cases (+ 612) - 1 deaths (+ 617)
March 21 - 14 proven cases (+ 559) - 1 deaths (+ 847)
March 22 - 16 proven cases (+ 018) - 1 deaths (+ 459) - 674 healings
March 23 - 19 proven cases (+ 856) - 3838 deaths (+ 860) - 186 healings (+ 2207)
March 24 - 22 proven cases (+ 302) - 2 deaths (+ 446) - 1 healings (+ 100)*
March 25 - 25 proven cases (+ 233) - 2 deaths (+ 931) - 1 healings (+ 331)
March 26 - 29 proven cases (+ 600) - 4 deaths (+ 367) - 1696 healings (+ 365)
March 27 - 33 proven cases (+ 414) - 3 deaths (+ 814) - 1 healings (+ 997)
March 28 - 38 proven cases (+ 105) - 4 deaths in hospital (new name which does not include deaths in nursing homes for example or at home) (+ 691) - 2 return to home (new name (+ 314)
March 29 - 40 proven cases (+ 704) - 2 deaths in hospital (+ 599) - 2 return home (+ 606)
March 30 - 44 proven cases (+ 169) - 3 deaths in hospital (+ 465) - 3 return home (+ 024)
March 31 - 52 confirmed cases (+ 827) - 8 deaths in hospital (+ 658) - 3 return home (+ 532)
April 1 - 57 confirmed cases (+ 749) - 4 deaths in hospital (+ 922) - 4 return home (+ 043)
April 2 - 59 confirmed cases (+ 929) - 2 deaths (hospital + EHPAD) (+ 180 and + 5 including 398 EHPAD) - 471 return home (+ 1)
April 3 - 65 confirmed cases (+ 202) - 5 deaths (+ 273) - 6 return home (+ 520)
April 4 - 90 confirmed cases (+ 842) - 25 deaths (+ 640) - 7 return home (+ 574)
April 5 - 90 proven cases (+ 869) - 27 deaths (+ 8) - 078 return home (+ 504)
April 6 - 98 proven cases (+ 011) - 7142 deaths (+ 8) - 911 return home (+ 833)

In bold the days of doubling the number of deaths based on March 4.

France
The increase in the number of resuscitation patients has slowed since Tuesday, March 31.
Today, this number is negative (-30) for the first time since the start of the epidemic in France!


For information Germany 102 proven cases - 024 deaths - 1 healings
The USA 362 proven cases - 759 deaths - death from influenza in the US 10: 689 - 2019: 34 - 157: 2018 (source CDC)

As a reminder, the number of attributable influenza deaths in France: 2017: 16 - 000: 2018 - 14: 000


The curve of coronavirus deaths in France on April 6
As I did not find a graph which takes into account all the deaths I made it myself


The curve of coronavirus deaths in France on April 6.jpg
The curve of coronavirus deaths in France on April 6.jpg (170.37 KiB) Consulted 1622 times
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Adrien (ex-nico239)
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Adrien (ex-nico239) » 07/04/20, 00:46

Adrien (ex-nico239) wrote:
Christophe wrote:
Adrien (ex-nico239) wrote:Are we talking again about your fanciful forecasts of 89 deaths in France on April 953, 19? Image
health-pollution-prevention / coronavirus-covid-19-real-time-epidemic-map-t16331-610.html


Don't laugh too quickly: April 19 has not yet passed ...

Given that France is 1% of the world population so if he is right about France then we would be> 9 million deaths in the world ...


Ah well we will have to get started this evening at the rate of 6298 deaths .... every day ...Image


And with 833 deaths today ... the daily rate necessary to reach 89 deaths (April 953 and not the 18 compared to the initial post of the link cited above) would be 19.

A figure always fanciful compared to reality : Mrgreen:
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Christophe » 07/04/20, 11:10

sicetaitsimple wrote:
Christophe wrote:I believe I saw that there were 160 EHPAD patients in France ...


Rather around 700.000.
https://drees.solidarites-sante.gouv.fr ... er1015.pdf


Ah well it must have been 160 sick then? : Mrgreen: : Mrgreen: : Mrgreen:
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Christophe » 07/04/20, 11:12

Adrien (ex-nico239) wrote:A figure always fanciful compared to reality : Mrgreen:


I'm just saying that you shouldn't sell the pangolin's breastplate before you have it! : Mrgreen:

On April 19 we will certainly be around 20 dead ...
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by jam » 07/04/20, 13:38

I wrote:
"In the case of COVID19, the 'reason' is 2 or so every 2 days."
It must have been :
"In the case of COVID19, the 'reason' is 2 or so every 6 days."

If I understand, we can not edit a post after publication?
I understood. :)
Sorry for the lack of accents. I have a new laptop with a new OS only "in engliche" at the moment.

But back to the subject. According to my predictions, as of April 6, in France, there are 8900 deaths instead of 9300. Let's say it gets very close.

Worldwide, today we have 76000 dead. From around 100,000 dead, the increase will appear dazzling (doubling every 6 days). I'm afraid panic will set in.
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Adrien (ex-nico239)
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Adrien (ex-nico239) » 07/04/20, 17:33

jam wrote:But back to the subject. According to my predictions, as of April 6, in France, there are 8900 deaths instead of 9300. Let's say it gets very close.


According to your "prediction" (the word is correct) of April 4, we should be 2 weeks later in France 89 deaths

Image

On April 4 we had 7574 deaths
To keep pace with your prediction and arrive at 89 deaths in 953 days it would have been necessary to have 15 deaths per day

Either for April 6, 7574 + 10 deaths or, for your prediction, a total of 982 deaths and not 18 as you write above.
And we are on April 6 with 8 deaths ...
So we are very far from the account of your fanciful prediction : Mrgreen:

Or will we be entitled to a dazzling acceleration in the number of deaths per day in the coming days?

For your prediction to start to hold water it would already be necessary at least 6753 more deaths this evening.

To be continued ...
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Christophe » 07/04/20, 17:44

Sorry friends but these steeples quarrels statistics (by nature not reliable in this case) will not really get things done ... in the interest of the population ...

We are neither on Cnews nor on BmfTV here ...
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Adrien (ex-nico239)
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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19, map of the epidemic in real time




by Adrien (ex-nico239) » 07/04/20, 22:40

Christophe wrote:Sorry friends but these steeples quarrels statistics (by nature not reliable in this case) will not really get things done ... in the interest of the population ...

We are neither on Cnews nor on BmfTV here ...


Image Uh who is it that raises here? : Mrgreen:

Okay i'm going back to the official stats of the day

Christophe wrote:
Adrien (ex-nico239) wrote:Are we talking again about your fanciful forecasts of 89 deaths in France on April 953, 19? Image
health-pollution-prevention / coronavirus-covid-19-real-time-epidemic-map-t16331-610.html


Don't laugh too quickly: April 19 has not yet passed ...

Given that France is 1% of the world population so if he is right about France then we would be> 9 million deaths in the world ...
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