Blackout EDF: ecowatt, electricity weather forecast to consume less and avoid cuts

[Christophe]

That's Remundo, executives with +€10k net monthly and retirement at 55 who can buy castles to end their days...

But there are other culprits:

[Remundo]

Germany has indeed understood that one of France's major industrial assets is its nuclear power plants.

ARENH, this European filth, beyond fattening tertiarized companies that do nothing concrete, was specially designed to disqualify this asset, including for Europe, leaving the field open to German coal gas production, which at the time arranged with Vladimir via Nordstream.

There followed an increase and a carbonation of electricity in Europe, and particularly in France in winter.

And we, idiots of French, have moreover neglected the maintenance of the existing park and the construction of some new power stations, which led us to the edge of the cyclic load shedding in full winter.

But the majority of French people are calves. I will be curious to see the next score of the macronist party to measure the level of zombification.

[Christophe]

https://www.rte-france.com/eco2mix/les- ... de-marche#

[phil59]

And to think that if the market was not open to competition, we would all pay around 10 cents per kWh...

Fuck you!

[Christophe]

A little more than 10 but not 100, nor 200 or 400 in all that!

Pay attention to the conversion: €50/MWh = 5 cents/kWh...

So €4/MWh = 0.4 cents/kWh...

Attention it is wholesale price, without tax, without distribution and transport... so for individuals: to multiply at least by 2.5...

Spot prices are the prices established on the electricity market by the stock exchanges on D-day for the following day. Two electricity exchanges operate on the electricity market in France: EPEX Spot and Nord Pool Spot. 

So in the case of a negative price, it is in the interests of the taxes to be as high as possible (simple calm, just kidding..)

[Christophe]

I just published an article on possible load shedding in France

[sicetaitsimple]

Attention it is wholesale price, without tax, without distribution and transport... so for individuals: to multiply at least by 2.5...

It's good, you got that. In fact, it is rather necessary to add a fixed sum to the price of the energy share. Roughly €80 to €90/MWh for individuals in France.
On the other hand, what you obviously did not understand is that day ahead prices allow operators to make day-to-day adjustments to their "production/purchase" balance VS "sales" and arbitrations, but that remains a marginal market in terms of volume compared to the total volume physically sold.
On EPEX, the total of transactions ( either [b]much more than physical deliveries[/b], it's a stock exchange) is about 500TWh/year while the physical consumption of the countries concerned is (roughly) about 2000TWh.

TradingBrochure.pdf

(449.56 KB) Downloaded times 465

[Christophe]

We are not out of the mess:

And there it is!

EDF will have to re-re-check everything and re-re-stop everything (and possibly re-re-check everything to re-re-repair...)

https://www.rtl.fr/actu/debats-societe/ ... 7900242664

It still gives the bad impression that our park is in very bad condition and at the end of its course ... and despite that we are told to push it to 50 or 60 years?!?

[Christophe]

It's good, you got that.

Pfff!!

[Remundo]

Hello Econologists

I raise the subject a little because there is something new on the side of Niger. We are in the process of losing our feet there, and in addition, Niger is subservient to... Russia!

This poses serious concerns for our long-term uranium supply.

I found some figures, and the only "neutral" countries are roughly Canada and Australia, for 25% of our imports.

SFEN_Uranium_France_parpays.png (22.15 KiB) Accessed 740 times

Source: SFEN via customs

uranium_france.jpg (45.56 KiB) Viewed 740 times

Source: Facebook, but I don't have the original report.

If EDF and Orano remain vague on the origin of the fuel exploited in France, the Euratom technical committee (CTE), contacted by CheckNews, gives more precise data. Of the 6 tonnes of uranium imported into France in 286, almost a third comes from Niger (34,7%). The rest comes from Kazakhstan (28,9%), Uzbekistan (26,4%), Australia (9,9%). However, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan maintain ambiguous relations with their neighbor Russia, even if these two countries have been trying to distance themselves since the invasion of Ukraine.

Regarding Europe (but France is a very big chunk for uranium), Liberation declared at the end of June

On the institution's website, there is also a list of Europe's main suppliers of natural uranium. In 2021, Niger, Kazakhstan and Russia were the top three importers from the European Union. Russia is in third position in this ranking, with 19,69% of the European market, behind Niger, 24,26% and Kazakhstan, 22,99%. Next are Australia and Canada. These five producing countries alone supply 96% of natural uranium to Europe.

Statista also publishes

AAE_Uranium_Europe_parpays.png (252.85 KiB) Viewed 726 times

At the European level, Niger also retains first place. In 2021, it supplied almost a quarter of the uranium used by the European Union according to Euratom, thus ahead of Kazakhstan (which represented 23% of the uranium imported by the EU), Russia (19,3% ), Australia (15,5%), and even Canada (14,3%). The consequences of the political unrest that Niger is currently experiencing could thus be felt on a European scale.

WE SUMMARY
between 2/3 and 3/4 of imports are provided by the cumulation of Niger or countries of the Russian world.

Eventually we could run out of uranium for our power plants, or pay much more for it, according to the same scenario that we already know about hydrocarbons.