France first climate victim in Europe?

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France first climate victim in Europe?




by Christophe » 11/12/18, 14:11

A reminder on the occasion of the COP24: the costs of climate damage ...

At the moment the climatic events are costing France 2200 Millions of dollars a year is close to 0,1% of GDP...In other words: it costs 72 € of GDP per year to each active French (26 million excluding unemployed): roughly half a day of work (calculation on the GDP> salary)!

I think people will understand better when it's said like that!

All these events are not related to the warming but the gravity of the events increases each year ... (over a period of analysis like the decade)

Maybe when we reach 10% then governments will take action ???

France, first victim of extreme weather events in Europe

Although the first victims of extreme weather events are undoubtedly the developing countries, France is an exception at the European level. Its level of risk is equivalent to that of a country like India, Thailand or the Dominican Republic. Every year, 2,2 billions of dollars are lost, largely in the overseas regions.

One country has slipped into the latest Global Climate Risk Index compiled by Germanwatch (1). France is one of the most weather-exposed countries, at the same level as India, Guatemala, Thailand or the Dominican Republic.

In twenty years, the country has lost 2,2 billions of dollars a year and recorded 1 212 deaths on average each year due to bad weather, floods, cyclones, hurricanes. In 2018, Hurricane Maria hit St. Martin Island and St. Barthelemy, but the Cévennes events in metropolitan France also weighed on the balance sheet.

In the Top 10 of the most exposed countries, there are nevertheless eight developing countries, first and foremost Puerto Rico, Honduras and Myanmar. From 1998 to 2017, the 11 500 reported extreme weather events will have killed half a million people and cost 3 470 billion, the equivalent of Russian GDP. 2017 has been a record year with 11 500 people dead and costs estimated at 375 billion, according to Germanwatch.

In a report published on December 10, the American Meteorological Society estimates that heat waves in Europe, China and South Korea, drought in the United States, heavy rains in South America and Bangladesh and drought in East Africa are weather events related to climate change. This has made the risk of heat waves in southern Europe at least three times higher in 2017 than in 1950. And the probability that such a heat wave will happen again is now 10% per year.

Concepcion Alvarez, @conce1

20_ans_de_dégâtsclimatiques__1_.png


Source: https://www.novethic.fr/actualite/infog ... 46682.html
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by izentrop » 11/12/18, 14:50

Figures to relativize when we know that they come from insurers https://www.catnat.net/donneesstats/der ... -en-europe

In countries like India where the warming is much more dramatic for the population, I would be surprised if the percentage of insured people is as high as in rich countries.
Finally, this index (and the ranking that follows) must be put into perspective insofar as:

This index based on data from reinsurers gives too much weight to the cost parameter. However, it overweight the developed countries where the insurance market is the most developed (and therefore where the costs are most precisely known).
This index covers the last 20 years during which particularly deadly events but statistically very rare (eg: heat wave of 2003) occurred and affected all European countries overweighting enormously the parameter "number of deaths" constituting the index.
The index does not contain any parameter aiming to quantify the vulnerability and therefore the efficiency of the preventive measures (indeed the notion of "risk" is considered as being the crossing of a hazard with the vulnerability of the issues exposed)
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by Christophe » 11/12/18, 14:57

Certainly, but not all is assured of its true value ... nor even insurable if we take into account human life (and animal) as well as the sentimental value ...

Do I need to give examples?
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by sen-no-sen » 11/12/18, 17:45

izentrop wrote:Figures to relativize when we know that they come from insurers (...)


It is for this reason that Africa seems little exposed in view of the map! : Lol:
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by Exnihiloest » 11/12/18, 18:44

What is a "extreme climate event"?
Even by replacing "climate" by "weather", there is no aggravation of these events. Anything big. Or they provide us with the list.
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by sen-no-sen » 11/12/18, 21:21

Exnihiloest wrote:What is a "extreme climate event"?
Even by replacing "climate" by "weather", there is no aggravation of these events. Anything big. Or they provide us with the list.


I think that there is indeed a great exaggeration of the media vis-à-vis global warming (= it is very seller).
If there is an increase in the number of damages or casualties due to extreme events in the industrialized or industrialising countries, it is more because of the rampant urbanization than because of the RCA.
Statistically, the more an area is exposed (ie urbanized) the more the risk increases, it is almost a truism but this fact is systematically avoided.
Example in support of the tsunami in South Asia 2004 and 250 000 victimes.Il a century ago such a catastrophe could have caused that some thousands of deaths, and before hominisation such an event would have to better uproot than some palms.
It's the same thing in California with the gigantic forest fires of his last years, if there had not been such a human intrusion into natural spaces, we could have described his last as non-events.
Closer to home with the floods this fall to Roquebrune sur Argens, or the real culprits are more to seek at the real estate developers than in the pangs of the CO2.
We will talk about RCA when we will see our first super cyclones!
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by sen-no-sen » 12/12/18, 00:02



While we are starting to see effects in some countries, RCA's alibi is finding everything to avoid challenging certain practices.
For while it is profitable to commercialize green energy in the context of sustainable growth, it is more difficult to call into question all-out concreting in the name of the economy.
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by moinsdewatt » 12/12/18, 01:08

Christophe wrote:A reminder on the occasion of the COP24: the costs of climate damage ...

For the moment the climatic events cost to France 2200 Millions of dollars a year is close to 1% of GDP...In other words: each French worker 2 3 days a year to finance the weather damage in France

I think people will understand better when it's said like that!

All these events are not related to the warming but the gravity of the events increases each year ... (over a period of analysis like the decade)

Maybe when we reach 10% then governments will take action ???

France, first victim of extreme weather events in Europe

Although the first victims of extreme weather events are undoubtedly the developing countries, France is an exception at the European level. Its level of risk is equivalent to that of a country like India, Thailand or the Dominican Republic. Every year, 2,2 billions of dollars are lost, largely in the overseas regions.

One country has slipped into the latest Global Climate Risk Index compiled by Germanwatch (1). France is one of the most weather-exposed countries, at the same level as India, Guatemala, Thailand or the Dominican Republic.

In twenty years, the country has lost 2,2 billions of dollars a year and recorded 1 212 deaths on average each year due to bad weather, floods, cyclones, hurricanes. In 2018, Hurricane Maria hit St. Martin Island and St. Barthelemy, but the Cévennes events in metropolitan France also weighed on the balance sheet.


Source: https://www.novethic.fr/actualite/infog ... 46682.html


Ben no, not 1 percent, but one per thousand since the GDP of France is 2200 billion a year.
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Re: France first climate victim in Europe?




by Christophe » 12/12/18, 09:06

moinsdewatt wrote:Ben no, not 1 percent, but one per thousand since the GDP of France is 2200 billion a year.


Ah thank you! There are at least 1 following here !! : Cheesy:

Mea culpa, it is surely indirectly the fault to Macron with his figures of barker, it has influenced my mental capacities! : Mrgreen: : Mrgreen: : Mrgreen:

I will rectify! Edit it's done ... finally it's 1 / 2 day ...
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