sicetaitsimple wrote:GuyGadebois wrote:Janic wrote: Of course, that's why I only consider what is happening in OUR countries.
8 actual VOC deaths against 72 flu ...
30 deaths, for 1441 infected (2.12%) but it is undoubtedly a "detail".
No, it's because you don't have access to "real numbers", unlike Janic ... Who has to protect his sources.
30 deaths, for 1441 infected (2.12%) but it is undoubtedly a "detail".janic wrote: Sure, that's why I only consider what's going on in OUR country.
8 actual deaths from VOC against 72 from influenza ...
this is not a detail, far from it! But you can see that these elderly people who would have died from the seasonal flu virus, die from this VOC, it's just a transfer as the graphs of the flu show, exceptionally (miraculously) low. Without VOCs the flu would be much higher. As for the deceased, I doubt they will make a difference.30 deaths, for 1441 infected (2.12%) but it is undoubtedly a "detail".
Janic wrote: But you can see that these elderly people who would have died from the seasonal flu virus, die from this VOC, it's just a transfer as the graphs of the flu show, exceptionally (miraculously) low. Without VOCs the flu would be much higher.
sicetaitsimple wrote:Janic wrote: But you can see that these elderly people who would have died from the seasonal flu virus, die from this VOC, it's just a transfer as the graphs of the flu show, exceptionally (miraculously) low. Without VOCs the flu would be much higher.
Special seniors offer! Janic offers you a barrel of COVID19 against two barrels of seasonal flu!
Ahmed wrote:... many will prefer a simple rum!
There are dozens of countries with exponential growth rates. To date, most of them are Western ...
In China On January 21, the number of new cases diagnosed (orange) exploded: there are a hundred new cases. In reality, there were 1 new cases that day, growing exponentially. But the authorities did not know it. What they knew was that suddenly there were 500 new cases of this new disease.
Two days later, the authorities closed Wuhan. At this point, the number of new cases diagnosed daily was around 400. Note this number: they decided to close the city with only 400 new cases in a day. In reality, there were 2500 new cases that day, but they didn't know it.
The next day, 15 other cities in Hubei closed their doors.
Until January 23, when Wuhan closes, you can look at the gray chart: it is increasing exponentially. Real cases exploded. As soon as Wuhan closed, business slowed down. On January 24, when 15 other cities closed, the number of real cases (again, gray) stopped. Two days later, the maximum number of actual cases has been reached, and has dropped since then. ...
France now claims 1 cases and 400 deaths. Using the two methods above, you can have a range of cases: between 30 and 24.
The actual number of coronavirus cases in France today should be between 24 and 000.
izentrop wrote:An edifying account of what could happen to us if we do not take the same measures as China. The Chinese have managed to curb the epidemic, with us it may be late ...There are dozens of countries with exponential growth rates. To date, most of them are Western ...
In China On January 21, the number of new cases diagnosed (orange) exploded: there are a hundred new cases. In reality, there were 1 new cases that day, growing exponentially. But the authorities did not know it. What they knew was that suddenly there were 500 new cases of this new disease.
Two days later, the authorities closed Wuhan. At this point, the number of new cases diagnosed daily was around 400. Note this number: they decided to close the city with only 400 new cases in a day. In reality, there were 2500 new cases that day, but they didn't know it.
The next day, 15 other cities in Hubei closed their doors.
Until January 23, when Wuhan closes, you can look at the gray chart: it is increasing exponentially. Real cases exploded. As soon as Wuhan closed, business slowed down. On January 24, when 15 other cities closed, the number of real cases (again, gray) stopped. Two days later, the maximum number of actual cases has been reached, and has dropped since then. ...
France now claims 1 cases and 400 deaths. Using the two methods above, you can have a range of cases: between 30 and 24.
The actual number of coronavirus cases in France today should be between 24 and 000.
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