CHRONICLE — “The excess of deaths in the month of July is five times higher than the average for the month of July, and this is only very little due to the heat or the covid. »
This is how the daily "El Pais" title last Monday, in One. The reference newspaper of the Spanish center left cites the Carlos III Institute of Epidemiology, which takes up the statistics of the MoMo (for monitorizacion de la mortalidad, in Spanish). According to the MoMo, 9 people would have died in July, within the framework of “an excess of mortality representing five times the average value for the month of July. »
“In all, it would be 41 people who would have died, or 000% more than last year for the same period. Some of the deaths could be explained "directly or indirectly due to the heat", reports El Pais. This portion would relate to 20 people, according to the MoMo, between July 1 and July 913, 1. Four times more than last year – assuming that the parameters for deferring deaths due to heat did not have varied, most of which would relate to subjects over 26 years old. Mortality statistics affecting the very old age group are rarely corrected for their growing overrepresentation as a share of the overall population. There will be more and more deaths from seasonal colds and heat waves, as there are more and more people entering the old age category, and Spain is the second most aging society in the world, after the Japan, in a curve by 2022, according to the United Nations.
The press reports that the values would be between 5 to 10°C higher than the seasonal average. However, these temperatures recorded in Spain, in July 2022, oscillating between 38 and 42 degrees, correspond to what in Spanish memory, constitutes the norm, long before global warming becomes a concern. There may therefore be a factor of lower metabolic resilience to high temperatures. It's a hypothesis like any other.
According to El Pais, 1 people have died from Covid. Either with a Covid death certificate, without specifying whether they died with or from the Covid. Still, “there are still thousands of unplanned (sic) deaths due to other reasons. Reasons for which there are more hypotheses than certainties, ”deplores El Pais.
Faced with these unexplained deaths and in the absence of epistemological interest on the part of public and private health institutes to set up the related studies, the hypotheses are going well. One, empirical, formulated by society, relates to the poor general state of health of the population. The health crisis has created a health vacuum, while giving the impression of beefing up health policy with propaganda. In Spain, precisely, last year, 2 rooms in Intensive Care Units were confiscated to counter the waves of “new covid variants”. These beds were never occupied, on the other hand the postponements of the operations which could possibly call upon this type of installation precipitated the statistics of lethality in a proportion which would begin to be felt, perhaps explaining the excess lethality. In any case, the question is asked: do negligence and denial of care in 200 and 2020 have an impact in terms of excess lethality in 2021 and more in the years to come?
All the people who have had to visit a hospital in the phase of “health collapse” have discovered a deserted hospital. Today, the consequences would begin to be measured. A population in worse health, which continues its demographic aging process, but after two years of denial of access to care and almost total cessation of preventive medicine. In such a configuration, it is obvious that the slightest demanding condition or the slightest mesological challenge constitutes a threat for systems that are too weak to develop adaptation functions.
It is probably too early to measure the damage of the deliberately orchestrated crawl space over the past two years. Millions have been gobbled up by consultancy firms, so the "we didn't know" is out. Especially since several international institutions were warning from 2020, if only of the consequences of stopping breast cancer prevention, to cite just this example. The access made more difficult for the medication of cancer patients as well as for all endemic diseases, the sudden inexplicable ban on the prescription of antibiotics, or other drugs hitherto part of the ordinary pharmacopoeia, the cessation of medical visits at home or the digitization of consultations for people who are victims of the digital divide.
The economic and psychological effects would play an important role in this systemic explanation of poor general health and therefore of excess lethality. Spain measures it, but these results could be extrapolated to other countries. It is only to think that in 2020, according to the own WHO, yet guilty in the first place, 23 million children did not have access to basic vaccination, that of real vaccines.