Basically, if you think about it and say that the Conservatives (led by David Cameron) are not idiots, you say that:
1) Cameron launches a referendum which is a bluff. If the United Kingdom does not leave it (brexit failure) it continues as before.
2) If the United Kingdom leaves it, it creates an inextricable - but wanted - legal situation in Europe (which does not want to part with a member even like the United Kingdom who has always been sitting on a folding seat ...) and that the exit ticket will necessarily be associated with eurocompatibility and compromise arrangements, so that the United Kingdom is outside the EU without having completely left it.
Typical British hypocrisy
3) If the Europeans fall into the trap, then the United Kingdom will have won across the board!
Because see the new establishment of dominant political England in this new scheme:
We see that it is a unique position, the great castling in the chess game between the "king" (the EU) ... and ... the .... queen!
Some observations in passing on the NEW position of political England:a) it is still not in the € uro zone which could fluctuate without affecting the pound sterling (which admittedly momentarily fell).
b) it is still part of the European Customs Union, so that does nothing to harm its exports!
c) it is still part of the EEA (which is the complementary point to the previous point). Which is another of his main concerns. Since only the economic aspect seems to interest him.
d) no longer being part of the EU, it is no longer subject to any constraints voted by the Union, such as the regulation of financial markets. The bankster sector can continue to speculate thoroughly in all areas without being subject to possible penalties.
e) if the EU sinks economically or politically, England will be grown (it has to be seen in the long term).
f) it leaves to Germany alone, the burden of balancing the accounts of Europe (so it believes it can thus weaken Germany?)
g) it will be able to play on the differences in directives between the EU and the EEA and thus secure an exclusive place in certain areas.
h) what makes that for simple questions of taxation and their trust regime authorized there, on the contrary it is likely to become very attractive by playing on the 2 tables. Because there will be de facto scenarios of complementary possibilities between Northern Ireland vs South and Scotland (if it leaves the United Kingdom). A bit like Liechtenstein which is part of the EEA, is politically included in Switzerland (while Switzerland is not part of either the EU or the EEA)
i) it will not have any immigration problem, since it is not part of the Schengen Area, except in airports where it willingly allows all nationals of the Schengen Area to transit with great ease for convenience and to avoid not that they feel excluded (but only in airports, when they have already been checked and they no longer pose a problem, since they are already arriving "sorted") ...!
j) in terms of international terrorism, political England de facto leaves the potential target of EU members (and according to which point of view we take: therefore the target of Al Q∂ed∂ C! A? This is good for Anglo-Saxons, who are more obliged to 'self-flagellate').
k) in the event of a military conflict between the EU and Russia, England could say that it would not be concerned and could not de facto be the target of Russian missiles (although it could send a few contingents, but according to the benefit / risk principle, I would see them doing this badly ...)
l) Last but not least, it saves time in front of Europe and therefore can arrange any provision to its advantage and see how the situation turns out, after all, it is the parliament which will decide and it is in the hands of the conservatives ...
Basically, I have the impression that we witnessed a pretty sleight of hand and everyone seems fooled.
So even if at first all this seems thoughtless and makes the English pass for idiots, it only causes an outcry momentarily, in the end, what will remain of the United Kingdom will not only have disadvantages for them, well on the contrary. They are expected to take advantage of it in my humble opinion. And I think the Conservatives have already studied all the scenarios. Could we possibly just be a war of delay in our speculations?
The fact that England (or the United Kingdom does not matter) leaving the EU does not change the economic situation in Europe - and in particular
Pigs - situation always catastrophic (even if things are going a little less badly with additional debt) and in this sense they will not contribute to "pay the bill" by leaving!
(Greece receives 7,5 billion and encouragement from Juncker >>>) Another big winning point for them ...!