Population decline in China

[sicetaitsimple]

According to this article, the Chinese population would have decreased in 2022 for the first time since the great famines around the year 1960. (source Chinese National Bureau of Statistics)
https://www.lefigaro.fr/international/c ... 0-20230117

9,56 million births
10,41 million deaths

[Obamot]

Yes and...?

Another conploploploploplot thread

[Macro]

Almost all the countries in the world where "serious" accounts are kept have been announcing falls in the birth rate and natural increase for the past 2 years... with a possible reduction in the world population to 4 billion within the next 50 years. ..

[Christophe]

Almost all the countries in the world where "serious" accounts are kept have been announcing falls in the birth rate and natural increase for the past 2 years... with a possible reduction in the world population to 4 billion within the next 50 years. ..

Closed bars, barrier gestures, less meetings, less fucking, fewer babies...

QED

More seriously, this is a consequence of the psychological covid...

[Macro]

And then it's rather good news for the planet....

[Christophe]

We should talk to Nigerians about it...

[Ahmed]

There is a tendency for demography to correct, which is to be linked to the contextual evolution, but we know that the simple relative deficit of births only has a long-term effect and does not by itself allow adjustment to changes taking place over a shorter time scale.

[sicetaitsimple]

I agree with you, that's why I limited myself in my post to purely factual data, without starting to draw conclusions that were certainly hasty.
But the reaching of this inflection point occurs a few years before the period when it was predicted until recently (rather between 2025 and 2030), which is why I pointed it out. Certainly the 3 years of Covid restrictions had to play. We will see for 2023, but a priori it should rather deteriorate on the death side.

[Ahmed]

Of course, demography evolves naturally (notwithstanding external circumstances) according to the two factors of births (mentioned at the beginning of this thread) and deaths. This last factor must logically weigh more and more heavily in countries where the age pyramid is currently widening upwards, particularly in China. If the "candle burns" at both ends, the process will be accelerated, while retaining the inertia specific to these phenomena.

[Exnihiloest]

 
The improvement in the standard of living has always lowered the birth rate.
Technology and consumption therefore contribute to this, and all countries must be able to benefit from it.