Hello,
Christophe wrote:Manipulation is omnipresent in diplomacy ... it's even the basis isn't it?
But do the US really have the means to wage a war against Iran? Iran is not Iraq ... and the invasion of Iraq has already been a total fiasco!
How many operating fields are the USA already in?
The manipulation is present but there is not only that. In the example, it is not manipulation, just a way of sending a message which consists in saying "we were very close to doing it, the next time will be the good one", but under a formula which does not is not an ultimatum and leaving a way out ...
If the USA has the means for a war, it depends on what you mean by that and what we mean by war (bombing, occupation on the ground ...).
Militarily Iran has no chance. On the other hand :
-An occupancy on the ground requires a logistics which for the moment is not at all in place
- can American public opinion bear the same losses as in Iraq during the occupation, I doubt it
-Is Iran able to export the war elsewhere via all the Shiite and allied arc and to pose enormous worries, without any doubt.
I tend to think that on this subject, only Israel and a fraction of hawk Neocons (which influences Trump) and the Sauds really want to go to the board. It's not bad, you tell me.
@+